Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.200721 0.230127 0.263121 0.303028 0.350180 0.404352 0.471635
2025-11-23 0.152117 0.189842 0.236612 0.299485 0.382745 0.490566 0.642966
2025-11-30 0.128633 0.170519 0.226322 0.307442 0.424601 0.591238 0.852787
2025-12-07 0.109037 0.151258 0.210671 0.302438 0.444400 0.662260 1.035393
2025-12-14 0.096436 0.139029 0.201835 0.304095 0.472193 0.748460 1.261331
2025-12-21 0.086219 0.128460 0.193308 0.303867 0.495670 0.831009 1.501597
2025-12-28 0.079564 0.122227 0.190237 0.311355 0.532634 0.943592 1.828626
2026-01-04 0.073439 0.115923 0.185965 0.315718 0.564279 1.052581 2.180839
2026-01-11 0.068257 0.110460 0.182232 0.320164 0.596482 1.169309 2.586984
2026-01-18 0.064412 0.106759 0.180963 0.328771 0.638225 1.315217 3.112297
2026-01-25 0.060044 0.101620 0.176411 0.330192 0.665131 1.434585 3.613947
2026-02-01 0.056106 0.096810 0.171846 0.330800 0.690237 1.555685 4.167469
2026-02-08 0.052150 0.091644 0.166164 0.328590 0.709438 1.669578 4.756072
2026-02-15 0.048285 0.086284 0.159526 0.323440 0.721009 1.767803 5.343523
2026-02-22 0.046230 0.084183 0.159125 0.331968 0.767862 1.975184 6.407584
2026-03-01 0.043040 0.079539 0.152987 0.326472 0.777817 2.080181 7.153858
2026-03-08 0.040816 0.076620 0.150137 0.328279 0.807621 2.254138 8.274253
2026-03-15 0.038624 0.073559 0.146649 0.328030 0.831808 2.418319 9.457693
2026-03-22 0.037276 0.072126 0.146558 0.336218 0.882016 2.685913 11.303626
2026-03-29 0.035772 0.070225 0.145209 0.340991 0.923309 2.937477 13.267428
2026-04-05 0.034385 0.068451 0.143960 0.345857 0.966171 3.211152 15.584817
2026-04-12 0.033385 0.067434 0.144363 0.355277 1.026046 3.574876 18.780202
2026-04-19 0.031968 0.065368 0.142056 0.356832 1.060368 3.849046 21.691117